Tuesday, May 31, 2016

Our NCAA Baseball Field Based on Combined Simulations

Here is the field based on combining the results from the two methods discussed in previous post. Teams were ranked based on lowest combined ranking then highest finish in either method. 58 of the 64 teams that made our field made the NCAA field. Teams are listed with their seed in our field and the NCAA respectively.

1 Florida 1 1
2 Miami (FL) 1 1
3 Louisville 1 1
4 Texas A&M 1 1
5 Ole Miss 1 1
6 LSU 1 1
7 Coastal Carolina 1 2
8 South Carolina 1 1
9 Vanderbilt 1 1
10 Clemson 1 1
11 Mississippi State 1 1
12 Bryant 1 2
13 Louisiana-Lafayette 1 1
14 TCU 1 1
15 Texas Tech 1 1
16 Southern Miss 1 2
17 Florida State 2 1
18 North Carolina State 2 1
19 Dallas Baptist 2 2
20 Virginia 2 1
21 Wright State 2 3
22 Ohio State 2 2
23 Tulane 2 2
24 UNC Wilmington 2 2
25 UC Santa Barbara 2 2
26 North Carolina 2 E
27 Louisiana Tech 2 3
28 Florida Atlantic 2 2
29 Georgia Tech 2 2
30 Kent State 2 E
31 South Alabama 2 3
32 Arizona 2 2
33 Sam Houston State 3 3
34 Southeastern Louisiana 3 3
35 Creighton 3 E
36 Rice 3 2
37 North Florida 3 E
38 BYU 3 E
39 Duke 3 3
40 Oklahoma State 3 2
41 Southeast Missouri State 3 4
42 Nebraska 3 3
43 Long Beach State 3 3
44 East Carolina 3 3
45 New Mexico 3 3
46 Oral Roberts 3 4
47 Cal State Fullerton 3 2
48 Lamar 3 E
57 Navy 4 4
62 Connecticut 4 3
70 Saint Mary's College 4 3
74 Alabama State 4 4
82 Utah Valley 4 4
109 Princeton 4 4
111 Xavier 4 4
118 Binghamton 4 4
119 Rhode Island 4 4
121 Western Carolina 4 4
123 William & Mary 4 4
129 Utah 4 4
133 Bethune-Cookman 4 4
135 Stetson 4 4
150 Fairfield 4 4
234 Western Michigan 4 4
50 Arizona State E 2
54 Wake Forest E 3
58 Gonzaga E 3
61 Boston College E 3
67 Washington E 3
68 Minnesota E 2

Monday, May 30, 2016

Our NCAA Baseball Tournament Fields

Here is the NCAA Baseball Tournament Field based on two approximations of the Power Points System. The first favors teams that play fewer games while the second favors teams that play more games. That said, 63 teams made both fields. The first method favors Lamar while the second method favors Houston. A = Automatic Berth. W = Wildcard Berth.


WIN PERCENTAGE +
 OPPONENTS' WIN PERCENTAGE
1 Miami (FL) W
2 Florida W
3 Louisville W
4 Texas A&M A
5 Ole Miss W
6 South Carolina W
7 Coastal Carolina A
8 LSU W
9 Bryant A
10 Mississippi State W
11 Vanderbilt W
12 Clemson A
13 TCU A
14 Texas Tech W
15 Louisiana-Lafayette A
16 North Carolina State W
17 Florida State W
18 Southern Miss A
19 Dallas Baptist A
20 Virginia W
21 Wright State A
22 North Carolina W
23 Florida Atlantic W
24 UNC Wilmington W
25 UC Santa Barbara W
26 Tulane W
27 Louisiana Tech W
28 Kent State W
29 Ohio State A
30 Arizona W
31 Southeastern Louisiana W
32 Georgia Tech W
33 Creighton W
34 BYU W
35 South Alabama W
36 North Florida W
37 Rice W
38 Sam Houston State A
39 Duke W
40 Oklahoma State W
41 Southeast Missouri State A
42 Long Beach State W
43 Oral Roberts A
44 Nebraska W
45 Lamar W
46 East Carolina W
47 Cal State Fullerton A
51 New Mexico A
54 Navy A
66 Alabama State A
69 Connecticut A
70 Saint Mary's College A
81 Utah Valley A
98 Princeton A
113 Xavier A
115 Binghamton A
120 Rhode Island A
122 Western Carolina A
126 William & Mary A
129 Utah A
131 Bethune-Cookman A
135 Stetson A
149 Fairfield A
233 Western Michigan A

(WINS * OPPONENTS' WINS) - (LOSSES * OPPONENTS' LOSSES)
1 Florida W
2 Louisville W
3 Texas A&M A
4 Miami (FL) W
5 Ole Miss W
6 LSU W
7 Coastal Carolina A
8 Vanderbilt W
9 Clemson A
10 South Carolina W
11 Mississippi State W
12 Louisiana-Lafayette A
13 Bryant A
14 Texas Tech W
15 TCU A
16 Southern Miss A
17 Florida State W
18 Dallas Baptist A
19 North Carolina State W
20 Ohio State A
21 Virginia W
22 Wright State A
23 Tulane W
24 Sam Houston State A
25 South Alabama W
26 Georgia Tech W
27 Louisiana Tech W
28 UC Santa Barbara W
29 UNC Wilmington W
30 Arizona W
31 Kent State W
32 North Carolina W
33 Southeastern Louisiana W
34 Florida Atlantic W
35 Rice W
36 North Florida W
37 Creighton W
38 Duke W
39 Oklahoma State W
40 Southeast Missouri State A
41 New Mexico A
42 BYU W
43 Nebraska W
44 Houston W
45 East Carolina W
46 Long Beach State W
49 Cal State Fullerton A
51 Oral Roberts A
57 Connecticut A
60 Navy A
72 Saint Mary's College A
79 Alabama State A
81 Utah Valley A
110 Xavier A
117 Rhode Island A
119 Western Carolina A
120 Binghamton A
122 Princeton A
124 William & Mary A
129 Utah A
134 Bethune-Cookman A
135 Stetson A
149 Fairfield A
241 Western Michigan A