Two Pac-12 Playoff Teams?

 

If we assume the eight Pac-12 teams currently ranked in AP Top 25 sweep their games versus Arizona, Arizona State, California, and Stanford, and the current highest ranked team wins all games between the ranked members, those eight teams will finish according to the graph below. This scenario will set up a rematch between USC and Washington in the league title game. If the Huskies win, both teams, assuming wins in any remaining non-conference games, finish 12-1. Is this the Pac-12's best chance for two playoff teams?  The fact that the league plays nine conference games and matches the top two teams makes it highly unlikely that the league can end on a high note of placing two teams in the College Football Playoff no matter how good the league may be. These eight teams are guaranteed 23 combined losses. That makes it difficult to end up with two CCG participants either undefeated or with one loss only and both teams still playoff contention much less a scenario where three teams finish with one loss with the odd team out having a better shot of being selected by the committee than the loser of the title game. And because there are no divisions, the #2 team will not be able to sit at home and back its way into the playoffs like 2017 Alabama and 2022 Ohio State. As great as the start to its final season as been, the odds of two Pac-12 teams making the playoffs is incredibly long due to nine conference games and no divisions. 

AP QUALITY WIN TOTALS (1978-2022)

AP - Associated Press Poll rank through regular season competition.

P - Place in Power Points Standings through regular season competition. (powerpointsstandings.blogspot.com)

QW - Wins versus teams ranked in final regular season AP Poll.

DOQW - Defeated Opponents' wins versus teams ranked in final regular season AP Poll.

TOTAL - QW plus DOQW. 

BEST STREAKS FOR EACH PROGRAM

The chart below lists each program's longest streak for finishing in the top four, eight, 12, and 16 in the AP Poll and Power Points Standings since 1978. Teams are placed according to their position in the all-time Power Points Standings (regular season only) since 1978.

TOP 16 STREAKS

 The chart below lists all multi-year top 16 regular season finish streaks in the Associated Press Poll and Power Points Standings since 1978. Each team is listed with the last year of streak. Streaks from 2020 are active.  

TOP 12 STREAKS

The chart below lists all multi-year top 12 regular season finish streaks in the Associated Press Poll and Power Points Standings since 1978. Each team is listed with the last year of streak. Streaks from 2020 are active.  

TOP EIGHT STREAKS

The chart below lists all multi-year top eight regular season finish streaks in the Associated Press Poll and Power Points Standings since 1978. Each team is listed with the last year of streak. Streaks from 2020 are active.  

TOP FOUR STREAKS

The chart below lists all multi-year top four regular season finish streaks in the Associated Press Poll and Power Points Standings since 1978. Each team is listed with the last year of streak. Streaks from 2020 are active.  

POWER POINTS STANDINGS FINAL FOUR (1978-2020)

The chart below lists the Power Points Standings top four teams for each season since 1978. Teams in red finished in at least one top four among the AP Poll, Coaches' Poll, BCS Standings, and CFP Rankings. 

AP REGULAR SEASON FINISHES

The chart below lists the number of different programs that finished in the AP top 4, 8, 12, and 16 plus the minimum number of times these results were achieved. For example, 41 different programs finished in the AP top 4 at least once. Also, 41 different programs finished in the top 16 at least six times.

BCS/CFP ERA (1978-2020) POWER POINTS STANDINGS

 

BEST OF THE BEST POWER POINTS STANDINGS

Each current and former FBS members' best season (most power points) are ranked below.  

TOP FOUR, TOP 8, AND TOP 16 FINISHES

The chart below lists the number of top four, top 8, and top 16 finishes for each school in the AP Poll and Power Points Standings through regular season competition since 1978. For example, Ohio State finished in the AP top four 12 times during the past 43 seasons. The teams are listed according to their all-time rank (1978-2020) in the Power Points Standings.  

POWER POINTS VS. COMMITTEE

The chart below lists the committee ranks for the Power Points System's top four teams for the same week. For example, the system's top four teams matched the committee's top four teams for the first committee poll in 2014. 

TOP 50 NON-POWER CONFERENCE TEAMS (1978-2020)

 

TOP 100 FBS TEAMS (1978-2020)

 

ALL-TIME (1978-2020) FBS POWER POINTS STANDINGS

 

TOP FOUR WORTHY SEASONS

The following chart lists the number of P5 and G5 teams had seasons during the past 43 years that would have earned a top four finish in 1 to 43 seasons under the Power Points System and the AP poll. For example, 37 P5 teams had seasons that would have earned a top four finish in all 43 seasons with the AP poll and Power Points System. Corresponding ranking between the two methods are used to determine the AP poll's results. For example, the AP's 1 team in 1978 gets the same value as the PP's #1 team in 1978.  

AP NATIONALS CHAMPIONS RANKED

AP National Champions ranked by percentage of points received. The Power Points System is the tiebreaker. Year and PPS finish are listed to the left of each team's name. Percentage of points received, power points, wins, losses, ties, and schedule strength are listed to the right.

AP National Champions Ranked

The last 42 AP national champions are ranked highest to lowest points received percentage. Ties are settled by the Power Points System. AP national champions in blue finished in first place in the Power Points Standings for their respective season.

1 2015 -Alabama 100.000
2 2018 -Clemson 100.000
3 2019 -Louisiana State 100.000
4 2016 -Clemson 100.000
5 2002 -Ohio State 100.000
6 2009 -Alabama 100.000
7 2000 -Oklahoma 100.000
8 2014 -Ohio State 100.000
9 2005 -Texas 100.000
10 1999 -Florida State 100.000
11 1998 -Tennessee 100.000
12 1992 -Alabama 100.000
13 2013 -Florida State 100.000
14 1995 -Nebraska 100.000
15 2012 -Alabama 100.000
16 2001 -Miami-Florida 100.000
17 1987 -Miami-Florida 100.000
18 2006 -Florida 99.938
19 1996 -Florida 99.910
20 1988 -Notre Dame 99.875
21 1985 -Oklahoma 99.825
22 2004 -Southern California 99.815
23 2010 -Auburn 99.797
24 2017 -Alabama 99.737
25 1986 -Penn State 99.737
26 1981 -Clemson 99.694
27 2007 -Louisiana State 99.692
28 2011 -Alabama 99.667
29 1980 -Georgia 99.325
30 1994 -Nebraska 99.323
31 1983 -Miami-Florida 99.025
32 1982 -Penn State 99.000
33 2003 -Southern California 98.954
34 1997 -Michigan 98.943
35 1993 -Florida State 98.839
36 2008 -Florida 98.831
37 1990 -Colorado 98.333
38 1979 -Alabama 98.284
39 1989 -Miami-Florida 98.237
40 1991 -Miami-Florida 98.133
41 1978 -Alabama 96.838
42 1984 -Brigham Young 96.667

2019 NCAA FBS Power Points Standings through 01-13-20

Teams listed with Power Points in all games and FBS games only.
FINAL FBS POWER POINTS STANDINGS
1 -Louisiana State 114 100
2 -Ohio State 97 92
3 -Clemson 88 77
4 -Georgia 78 68
5 -Appalachian State 70 58
6 -Penn State 68 63
7 -Oregon 67 60
8 -Memphis 66 59
9 -Oklahoma 65 56
10 -Notre Dame 65 55
11 -Boise State 64 53
12 -Florida 57 48
13 -Cincinnati 57 47
14 -Wisconsin 57 53
15 -Navy 55 45
16 -Florida Atlantic 53 45
17 -Air Force 52 42
18 -Alabama 51 42
19 -Auburn 51 43
20 -Baylor 49 41
21 -Louisiana-Lafayette 49 38
22 -Utah 48 40
23 -Iowa 48 44
24 -Minnesota 47 42
25 -Michigan 47 42
26 -Southern Methodist 44 34
27 -Central Florida 36 27
28 -Texas 34 27
29 -Hawaii 30 20
30 -Southern California 30 25
31 -San Diego State 29 21
32 -Virginia 29 20
33 -Washington 27 21
34 -Tennessee 26 19
35 -Louisville 25 19
36 -Marshall 25 20
37 -Western Kentucky 24 25
38 -Texas A&M 22 15
39 -Louisiana Tech 20 13
40 -Arizona State 20 14
41 -Kansas State 18 11
42 -Pittsburgh 17 11
43 -Kentucky 15 7
44 -Temple 15 8
45 -Miami-Ohio 15 9
46 -Oklahoma State 14 8
47 -California 14 10
48 -Wake Forest 14 8
49 -Utah State 14 8
50 -Brigham Young 14 9
51 -Buffalo 13 7
52 -Wyoming 12 5
53 -Michigan State 12 8
54 Georgia Southern 12 6
55 -Arkansas State 11 4
56 -Iowa State 10 5
57 -Tulane 9 3
58 -North Carolina 8 3
59 -Virginia Tech 7 2
60 -UAB 6 1
61 -Indiana 6 3
62 -Mississippi State 6 1
63 -Southern Mississippi 1 -3
64 -Western Michigan 1 -4
65 -Florida State 1 -4
66 -Miami-Florida 0 -4
67 -Georgia State -1 -8
68 -Kent State -2 -7
69 Charlotte -2 -6
70 -Ohio -2 -7
71 -Central Michigan -4 -10
72 -Boston College -5 -10
73 -South Carolina -5 -8
74 -Nevada -6 -11
75 -Colorado -6 -9
76 -Missouri -8 -13
77 -Toledo -8 -13
78 -Tulsa -8 -13
79 Liberty -9 -14
80 -Washington State -10 -13
81 -Nebraska -11 -14
82 -Oregon State -11 -14
83 -Duke -11 -15
84 -Illinois -12 -13
85 -Texas Christian -12 -14
86 -Louisiana-Monroe -13 -17
87 -UCLA -13 -15
88 -Syracuse -14 -19
89 -West Virginia -15 -19
90 -Ball State -15 -19
91 -Eastern Michigan -17 -20
92 -Florida International -18 -21
93 -Houston -18 -20
94 -South Florida -18 -21
95 -Stanford -19 -22
96 -San Jose State -21 -26
97 -Troy State -22 -25
98 -Purdue -22 -24
99 Coastal Carolina -23 -26
100 -Fresno State -23 -26
101 -Mississippi -24 -27
102 -Northern Illinois -25 -28
103 -Arizona -27 -28
104 -Army -28 -28
105 -Middle Tennessee State -29 -31
106 -UNLV -30 -33
107 -Texas Tech -31 -34
108 -Colorado State -31 -34
109 -North Carolina State -33 -36
110 -Maryland -33 -34
111 -Georgia Tech -33 -25
112 -Northwestern -33 -34
113 -Texas State -34 -36
114 -Vanderbilt -35 -37
115 -UTSA -36 -38
116 -North Texas -36 -39
117 -East Carolina -37 -39
118 -Kansas -37 -39
119 -Rutgers -37 -39
120 -Bowling Green -39 -40
121 -Rice -39 -42
122 -Arkansas -44 -44
123 -South Alabama -45 -46
124 -New Mexico -46 -47
125 -Connecticut -54 -54
126 -New Mexico State -59 -60
127 Old Dominion -64 -63
128 -UTEP -76 -76
129 -Massachusetts -82 -71
130 -Akron -82 -81

2019 NCAA FCS Power Points Standings through 01-11-20

FINAL FCS POWER POINTS STANDINGS
1 North Dakota State 112
2 James Madison 91
3 Weber State 64
4 Montana State 53
5 Monmouth 52
6 Montana 52
7 Central Arkansas 44
8 Yale 41
9 Nicholls 41
10 Central Connecticut 40
11 Northern Iowa 40
12 Austin Peay 39
13 Illinois State 39
14 Sacramento State 39
15 Florida A&M 37
16 North Carolina A&T 37
17 Dartmouth 36
18 Kennesaw State 33
19 Albany 29
20 Southeast Missouri State 28
21 Alcorn State 28
22 Princeton 26
23 San Diego 26
24 South Carolina State 26
25 Wofford 25
26 Southern Illinois 25
27 Southeastern Louisiana 23
28 Dayton 22
29 South Dakota State 21
30 Villanova 20
31 McNeese State 19
32 Furman 18
33 Towson 17
34 UT Martin 17
35 Southern 14
36 North Dakota 14
37 Bethune-Cookman 13
38 New Hampshire 13
39 Grambling State 12
40 Maine 11
41 Holy Cross 10
42 Sam Houston State 8
43 Robert Morris 7
44 Davidson 4
45 Eastern Washington 3
46 Eastern Kentucky 3
47 Campbell 3
48 The Citadel 3
49 Penn 3
50 UC Davis 3
51 Youngstown State 2
52 Elon 2
53 Charleston Southern 0
54 Richmond 0
55 Sacred Heart -1
56 Chattanooga -2
57 William & Mary -2
58 Drake -3
59 Duquesne -4
60 Jacksonville State -4
61 Harvard -4
62 Alabama State -5
63 Abilene Christian -5
64 Norfolk State -5
65 Stetson -6
66 Delaware -7
67 Saint Francis -9
68 Tennessee Tech -10
69 South Dakota -10
70 Incarnate Word -10
71 Cornell -10
72 Alabama A&M -11
73 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -11
74 Stony Brook -11
75 VMI -11
76 Samford -11
77 Columbia -11
78 Idaho -12
79 Prairie View A&M -13
80 Indiana State -14
81 Marist -14
82 Portland State -15
83 Murray State -21
84 Houston Baptist -22
85 North Alabama -22
86 Colgate -22
87 Fordham -22
88 Cal Poly -22
89 Lafayette -23
90 Jackson State -23
91 Mercer -24
92 Morehead State -25
93 Lehigh -25
94 Bucknell -25
95 Morgan State -25
96 Georgetown -26
97 Gardner-Webb -26
98 Merrimack -29
99 Hampton -29
100 East Tennessee State -29
101 Northern Arizona -30
102 North Carolina Central -30
103 Brown -30
104 Lamar -32
105 Idaho State -32
106 Bryant -33
107 Tennessee State -33
108 Southern Utah -35
109 Northwestern State -35
110 Western Carolina -37
111 Jacksonville -37
112 Rhode Island -37
113 Stephen F. Austin -39
114 Butler -39
115 Northern Colorado -40
116 Howard -41
117 Missouri State -44
118 Western Illinois -50
119 Wagner -52
120 Delaware State -53
121 Eastern Illinois -53
122 Mississippi Valley State -54
123 Presbyterian -55
124 Long Island -56
125 Valparaiso -60
126 Texas Southern -65

2019 NCAA FBS Power Points Standings through 12-28-19

FBS POWER POINTS STANDINGS
1 -Ohio State 97 92
2 -Louisiana State 96 83
3 -Clemson 87 76
4 -Appalachian State 68 56
5 -Penn State 68 63
6 -Oklahoma 65 56
7 -Georgia 64 55
8 -Notre Dame 64 54
9 -Boise State 63 52
10 -Memphis 62 55
11 -Wisconsin 59 55
12 -Oregon 57 50
13 -Florida Atlantic 52 44
14 -Utah 51 43
15 -Air Force 51 41
16 -Cincinnati 51 42
17 -Baylor 50 42
18 -Michigan 50 45
19 -Auburn 50 42
20 -Iowa 49 45
21 -Florida 46 38
22 -Navy 46 37
23 -Southern Methodist 43 33
24 -Alabama 42 33
25 -Louisiana-Lafayette 41 31
26 -Minnesota 39 35
27 -Central Florida 35 26
28 -Virginia 32 23
29 -Hawaii 30 20
30 -San Diego State 29 21
31 -Southern California 28 23
32 -Washington 28 22
33 -Texas A&M 24 17
34 -Texas 24 18
35 -Marshall 23 18
36 -Kansas State 21 14
37 -Louisiana Tech 20 13
38 -Louisville 20 15
39 -Pittsburgh 19 13
40 -Miami-Ohio 18 12
41 -Tennessee 18 12
42 -Western Kentucky 17 19
43 -Wake Forest 16 10
44 -Oklahoma State 15 9
45 -Michigan State 15 11
46 -Virginia Tech 14 9
47 -Temple 14 7
48 -Buffalo 14 8
49 -Brigham Young 14 9
50 -Arizona State 13 8
51 -Utah State 13 7
52 -Indiana 12 9
53 -Arkansas State 12 5
54 Georgia Southern 12 6
55 -Iowa State 11 6
56 -North Carolina 11 6
57 -Mississippi State 11 6
58 -California 9 5
59 -Southern Mississippi 8 4
60 -UAB 7 2
61 -Kentucky 7 1
62 -Florida State 7 2
63 -Wyoming 5 -1
64 -Georgia State 4 -3
65 -Western Michigan 4 -2
66 -Tulane 3 -2
67 -Kent State 1 -4
68 -Nevada 0 -5
69 -Boston College 0 -5
70 -Miami-Florida 0 -4
71 -Central Michigan -1 -7
72 Charlotte -1 -5
73 -Illinois -6 -7
74 -Colorado -6 -9
75 -South Carolina -6 -9
76 -Ohio -7 -11
77 Liberty -8 -13
78 -Missouri -8 -13
79 -Toledo -8 -13
80 -Washington State -9 -12
81 -Nebraska -9 -12
82 -Tulsa -9 -14
83 -Duke -10 -14
84 -Texas Christian -11 -13
85 -Syracuse -11 -16
86 -Oregon State -12 -15
87 -Louisiana-Monroe -12 -16
88 -Ball State -13 -17
89 -UCLA -13 -15
90 -West Virginia -14 -18
91 -Eastern Michigan -17 -20
92 -South Florida -17 -20
93 -Florida International -18 -21
94 -Houston -18 -20
95 -Purdue -18 -20
96 -Stanford -19 -22
97 -San Jose State -20 -25
98 -Troy State -20 -23
99 Coastal Carolina -22 -25
100 -Mississippi -22 -25
101 -Fresno State -22 -25
102 -Northern Illinois -24 -27
103 -Army -26 -26
104 -Arizona -26 -27
105 -Middle Tennessee State -28 -30
106 -Texas Tech -29 -32
107 -North Carolina State -30 -33
108 -UNLV -30 -33
109 -Georgia Tech -30 -22
110 -Colorado State -31 -34
111 -Maryland -31 -32
112 -Northwestern -31 -32
113 -Rutgers -33 -35
114 -UTSA -34 -36
115 -Texas State -34 -36
116 -North Texas -35 -38
117 -Vanderbilt -35 -37
118 -Kansas -35 -37
119 -Bowling Green -36 -37
120 -East Carolina -37 -39
121 -Rice -37 -40
122 -Arkansas -42 -42
123 -South Alabama -44 -45
124 -New Mexico -45 -46
125 -Connecticut -52 -52
126 -New Mexico State -59 -60
127 Old Dominion -62 -61
128 -UTEP -74 -74
129 -Akron -80 -79
130 -Massachusetts -82 -71