Tuesday, November 26, 2013

2013 16-Team Mock Playoff Race

My ideal format qualifies all league champions and the top six remaining teams. League champions are determined by best conference record then finish in Power Points Standings. Power Points Standings determine wildcard teams. All 16 qualifiers are seeded by finish in Power Points Standings. Higher seeds host through semifinals and flexible bracket is used so that advancing teams are paired highest versus lowest remaining seed, 2nd highest versus 2nd lowest, and so on in each round. Here is the field if current highest placed teams win out. *Automatic berth.


1 -Alabama 65*
2 -Ohio State 63*
3 -Florida State 63*
4 -Missouri 61
5 -Baylor 58*
6 -Arizona State 58*
7 -Oklahoma State 56
8 -Stanford 56
9 -Auburn 54
10 -Clemson 53
11 -Fresno State 48*
12 -Central Florida 48*
13 -Northern Illinois 46*
14 -Michigan State 45
15 -East Carolina 29*
16 -Louisiana-Lafayette 28*

With one game remaining for most teams, six playoff berths have been clinched by Alabama, Ohio State, Florida State, Auburn, Fresno State, and Northern Illinois. Teams still alive but not listed above include Louisville, Cincinnati, Oklahoma, Marshall, Rice, USC, Arkansas State, Wisconsin, South Carolina, Duke, Notre Dame, Texas A&M, Oregon, and UCLA. No team has clinched homefield through the first round. The Alabama-Auburn game would have homefield through semifinals versus playing first round on road at stake, Clemson-South Carolina and Oklahoma State-Oklahoma would have a playoff berth at stake. Teams like Missouri can finish as high as a two seed or miss the playoffs altogether although both would take a lot to happen. Seven league titles are still up for grabs. So, with this format, 30 teams still in it with a week plus left. Six of 16 berths clinched. No team has clinched even a first round home game. So, lots of potential for sandbagging and the sacred regular season is ruined?

Sunday, November 24, 2013

2013 Power Points Standings thru 11-23 (Average Scoring Margin Rules)

1 -Florida State 97.8
2 -Ohio State 81.4
3 -Alabama 80.5
4 -Baylor 79.2
5 -Missouri 67.5
6 -Auburn 66.0
7 -Arizona State 64.7
8 -Oklahoma State 64.4
9 -Clemson 63.1
10 -Northern Illinois 60.3
11 -Stanford 58.5
12 -Fresno State 57.8
13 -Wisconsin 57.5
14 -Oregon 57.4
15 -Michigan State 53.3
16 -Central Florida 51.6
17 -Louisville 51.1
18 -South Carolina 49.1
19 -Oklahoma 48.6
20 -Texas A&M 47.5
21 -Southern California 44.6
22 -Louisiana State 44.3
23 -UCLA 41.6
24 -Duke 41.5
25 -Notre Dame 40.2
26 -Virginia Tech 38.6
27 -East Carolina 38.5
28 -Ball State 36.9
29 -Georgia 35.9
30 -Washington 35.5
31 -Miami-Florida 33.9
32 -Mississippi 33.4
33 -Georgia Tech 31.8
34 -Brigham Young 31.5
35 -Nebraska 29.8
36 -Minnesota 29.5
37 -Michigan 29.0
38 -Houston 28.9
39 -Louisiana-Lafayette 28.7
40 -Iowa 27.5
41 -Arizona 27.2
42 -Texas 26.3
43 -Marshall 26.2
44 -Toledo 26.0
45 -Boise State 24.7
46 -North Texas 24.7
47 -Bowling Green 24.0
48 -Cincinnati 23.7
49 -Rice 23.1
50 -Texas Tech 22.2
51 -Buffalo 20.8
52 -Utah State 20.2
53 -North Carolina 17.9
54 -Kansas State 16.7
55 -Boston College 15.9
56 -Vanderbilt 14.7
57 -Navy 14.7
58 -Arkansas State 13.5
59 -Tulane 11.6
60 -Penn State 11.1
61 -Pittsburgh 9.6
62 -Mississippi State 9.5
63 -Washington State 9.4
64 -Western Kentucky 8.5
65 -UTSA 6.4
66 -Middle Tennessee State 6.1
67 -San Diego State 3.8
68 -Oregon State 2.7
69 -Indiana 0.7
70 -Utah -0.4
71 -Florida Atlantic -0.8
72 -Ohio -1.1
73 -Rutgers -1.3
74 -Maryland -2.8
75 -UNLV -5.6
76 -Syracuse -5.8
77 -Tennessee -5.8
78 -Memphis -10.6
79 -San Jose State -10.8
80 -Northwestern -11.3
81 -Colorado State -11.5
82 -Florida -11.7
83 -Texas State -12.5
84 -South Alabama -13.2
85 -Troy -14.3
86 -Louisiana-Monroe -14.9
87 -Texas Christian -14.9
88 -Wake Forest -16.1
89 -Illinois -18.0
90 -Southern Methodist -18.1
91 -West Virginia -20.9
92 -Wyoming -21.4
93 -Akron -21.4
94 -Nevada -22.7
95 -Central Michigan -23.7
96 -North Carolina State -24.2
97 -Kent State -28.2
98 -Colorado -29.4
99 -Tulsa -30.1
100 -Arkansas -30.6
101 -Virginia -35.8
102 -Army -37.2
103 -Kansas -38.1
104 -New Mexico -38.4
105 -Kentucky -39.5
106 -South Florida -43.0
107 -Louisiana Tech -44.9
108 -Iowa State -44.9
109 -Purdue -50.4
110 -UAB -50.9
111 -Air Force -54.6
112 -Temple -55.2
113 -Connecticut -55.2
114 -Eastern Michigan -58.8
115 -UTEP -62.4
116 -Hawaii -63.0
117 -California -64.9
118 -Idaho -68.5
119 -New Mexico State -71.5
120 -Massachusetts -71.7
121 -Western Michigan -72.2
122 -Florida International -80.4
123 -Georgia State -84.6
124 -Southern Mississippi -86.3
125 -Miami-Ohio -87.5

2013 Power Points Standings thru 11-23

1 -Florida State 54
2 -Ohio State 51
3 -Alabama 50
4 -Auburn 49
5 -Arizona State 48
6 -Missouri 47
7 -Stanford 44
8 -Baylor 43
9 -Oklahoma State 42
10 -Northern Illinois 41
11 -Clemson 41
12 -Fresno State 38
13 -Oklahoma 38
14 -Central Florida 36
15 -Michigan State 35
16 -South Carolina 35
17 -Southern California 35
18 -Notre Dame 35
19 -Wisconsin 34
20 -Texas A&M 33
21 -Virginia Tech 33
22 -Oregon 30
23 -Duke 30
24 -UCLA 30
25 -Louisiana State 29
26 -Louisville 27
27 -Georgia 27
28 -Mississippi 26
29 -Ball State 24
30 -Miami-Florida 24
31 -Minnesota 24
32 -Michigan 21
33 -Brigham Young 21
34 -Toledo 21
35 -Nebraska 20
36 -Texas 20
37 -Washington 20
38 -Iowa 20
39 -East Carolina 19
40 -Louisiana-Lafayette 17
41 -Houston 17
42 -Georgia Tech 16
43 -Rice 15
44 -Arizona 15
45 -Boston College 15
46 -Texas Tech 15
47 -North Texas 13
48 -Boise State 12
49 -Buffalo 10
50 -Vanderbilt 10
51 -Arkansas State 10
52 -Washington State 10
53 -Pittsburgh 10
54 -North Carolina 10
55 -Penn State 9
56 -UTSA 9
57 -Cincinnati 8
58 -Navy 8
59 -Kansas State 8
60 -Mississippi State 8
61 -Tulane 7
62 -San Diego State 6
63 -Marshall 4
64 -Utah State 4
65 -Middle Tennessee State 4
66 -Bowling Green 3
67 -Rutgers 3
68 -Indiana 3
69 -Western Kentucky 2
70 -Tennessee 1
71 -Oregon State 0
72 -Ohio 0
73 -Utah -1
74 -Syracuse -2
75 -Maryland -3
76 -UNLV -3
77 -Florida Atlantic -4
78 -Louisiana-Monroe -6
79 -San Jose State -7
80 -Texas State -10
81 -Northwestern -10
82 -Wake Forest -10
83 -Memphis -10
84 -Troy -11
85 -Florida -12
86 -Illinois -12
87 -Akron -12
88 -Southern Methodist -14
89 -South Alabama -14
90 -West Virginia -14
91 -Colorado State -15
92 -Central Michigan -15
93 -Texas Christian -15
94 -Nevada -15
95 -Colorado -16
96 -Wyoming -18
97 -North Carolina State -18
98 -Tulsa -19
99 -Arkansas -20
100 -Kent State -22
101 -Kansas -22
102 -Virginia -22
103 -Purdue -27
104 -South Florida -28
105 -Kentucky -29
106 -New Mexico -30
107 -Army -32
108 -Iowa State -32
109 -Eastern Michigan -33
110 -UAB -35
111 -Idaho -38
112 -Louisiana Tech -39
113 -Connecticut -39
114 -Air Force -42
115 -California -42
116 -New Mexico State -45
117 -UTEP -46
118 -Temple -48
119 -Hawaii -50
120 -Massachusetts -51
121 -Florida International -52
122 -Western Michigan -54
123 -Southern Mississippi -56
124 -Miami-Ohio -63
125 -Georgia State -67

Sunday, November 17, 2013

Top 25 with Average Scoring Margin Rules thru 11-16

1 -Florida State 90.6
2 -Baylor 84.8
3 -Alabama 76.6
4 -Ohio State 72.6
5 -Oregon 64.7
6 -Auburn 61.0
7 -Missouri 58.1
8 -Clemson 57.7
9 -Arizona State 53.9
10 -Stanford 51.9
11 -Oklahoma State 51.4
12 -Northern Illinois 50.4
13 -Texas A&M 50.3
14 -Fresno State 49.4
15 -Louisville 48.8
16 -Wisconsin 48.5
17 -Michigan State 45.7
18 -Central Florida 43.7
19 -UCLA 43.3
20 -Oklahoma 40.7
21 -South Carolina 40.5
22 -Ball State 35.9
23 -Duke 35.9
24 -Southern California 35.8
25 -Mississippi 35.5

2013 Power Points Standings thru 11-16

1 -Florida State 49
2 -Alabama 48
3 -Auburn 44
4 -Ohio State 42
5 -Baylor 41
6 -Stanford 41
7 -Clemson 38
8 -Missouri 37
9 -Arizona State 36
10 -Fresno State 32
11 -Oregon 32
12 -Texas A&M 32
13 -Northern Illinois 31
14 -South Carolina 31
15 -Oklahoma State 30
16 -UCLA 30
17 -Oklahoma 30
18 -Central Florida 29
19 -Michigan State 28
20 -Virginia Tech 28
21 -Southern California 27
22 -Mississippi 26
23 -Minnesota 25
24 -Notre Dame 25
25 -Wisconsin 24
26 -Duke 24
27 -Louisville 23
28 -Ball State 23
29 -Michigan 23
30 -Brigham Young 23
31 -Georgia 23
32 -Texas 20
33 -Louisiana State 20
34 -Miami-Florida 19
35 -Houston 18
36 -Toledo 18
37 -Louisiana-Lafayette 17
38 -North Texas 17
39 -Boise State 15
40 -Texas Tech 15
41 -Nebraska 14
42 -Georgia Tech 14
43 -Washington 14
44 -Rice 13
45 -East Carolina 12
46 -Penn State 12
47 -Iowa 12
48 -Kansas State 11
49 -Buffalo 10
50 -Arkansas State 10
51 -Boston College 9
52 -Vanderbilt 7
53 -Ohio 7
54 -North Carolina 7
55 -Washington State 6
56 -Arizona 5
57 -Utah 5
58 -Mississippi State 5
59 -Middle Tennessee State 4
60 -Tulane 4
61 -Rutgers 4
62 -Syracuse 4
63 -Tennessee 4
64 -Oregon State 3
65 -Pittsburgh 3
66 -Indiana 3
67 -Maryland 2
68 -Navy 2
69 -Marshall 1
70 -Bowling Green 1
71 -San Diego State 1
72 -UTSA 1
73 -Louisiana-Monroe 1
74 -Cincinnati 0
75 -Utah State 0
76 -Florida -1
77 -Western Kentucky -4
78 -San Jose State -4
79 -UNLV -4
80 -Wake Forest -6
81 -Florida Atlantic -6
82 -Texas State -7
83 -Northwestern -7
84 -Colorado State -9
85 -Memphis -9
86 -Colorado -10
87 -Arkansas -10
88 -Troy -11
89 -West Virginia -11
90 -Akron -11
91 -Nevada -12
92 -Kansas -12
93 -Illinois -12
94 -Central Michigan -13
95 -Wyoming -14
96 -Southern Methodist -15
97 -North Carolina State -15
98 -Texas Christian -16
99 -Virginia -17
100 -South Alabama -19
101 -Purdue -19
102 -South Florida -22
103 -Tulsa -23
104 -Kentucky -24
105 -Eastern Michigan -26
106 -Kent State -27
107 -Louisiana Tech -28
108 -Army -29
109 -New Mexico -29
110 -UAB -32
111 -Iowa State -33
112 -Idaho -34
113 -Air Force -35
114 -New Mexico State -35
115 -Temple -35
116 -California -35
117 -Connecticut -36
118 -UTEP -37
119 -Hawaii -41
120 -Massachusetts -43
121 -Florida International -44
122 -Southern Mississippi -46
123 -Western Michigan -50
124 -Miami-Ohio -57
125 -Georgia State -58

Monday, November 11, 2013

Power Points System Rules

If used, it is best if all FBS teams play equal or equal maximum game regular season schedules versus FBS competition only to ensure equal maximum power points possible.

ORIGINAL RULES

Teams place most to least:

1-Power Points (Games Won Opponents' Wins - Games Lost Opponents' Losses)
2-Net Wins (Wins - Losses)
3-Schedule Strength (Opponents' Power Points)
4-Net Points (Points For - Points Against)

The standings posted on this blog include all games with FCS wins and losses treated as equal to the least valuable FBS win and loss respectively. 

AVERAGE SCORING MARGIN RULES

Teams place most to least:

1-Power Points ((Games Won Opponents' Wins - Games Lost Opponents' Losses) + (Net Points / Games Played))
2-Net Wins (Wins - Losses)
3-Schedule Strength (Opponents' Power Points)

Sunday, November 10, 2013

Top 25 with Average Scoring Margin Rules

1 -Florida State 80.0
2 -Baylor 76.6
3 -Alabama 72.3
4 -Ohio State 67.2
5 -Oregon 59.8
6 -Missouri 55.1
7 -Stanford 53.4
8 -Auburn 52.2
9 -Clemson 49.2
10 -Fresno State 46.4
11 -Arizona State 45.4
12 -Texas A&M 45.3
13 -Louisville 43.9
14 -Oklahoma State 43.0
15 -Wisconsin 40.9
16 -Central Florida 40.1
17 -Northern Illinois 38.2
18 -Michigan State 38.2
19 -Oklahoma 36.7
20 -UCLA 36.7
21 -Virginia Tech 35.5
22 -Ball State 35.3
23 -South Carolina 35.0
24 -Louisiana State 33.4
25 -Houston 33.1

2013 Power Points Standings thru 11-09

1 -Alabama 42
2 -Stanford 41
3 -Florida State 40
4 -Ohio State 36
5 -Auburn 34
6 -Missouri 34
7 -Baylor 31
8 -Clemson 30
9 -Fresno State 29
10 -Oklahoma 29
11 -Virginia Tech 29
12 -Texas A&M 27
13 -Arizona State 27
14 -Oregon 26
15 -South Carolina 25
16 -Central Florida 24
17 -Minnesota 24
18 -UCLA 23
19 -Georgia 23
20 -Brigham Young 23
21 -Oklahoma State 22
22 -Notre Dame 22
23 -Michigan State 20
24 -Miami-Florida 20
25 -Mississippi 20
26 -Northern Illinois 19
27 -Ball State 19
28 -Wisconsin 19
29 -Louisiana State 19
30 -Texas 18
31 -Southern California 18
32 -Michigan 18
33 -Duke 17
34 -Houston 17
35 -North Texas 17
36 -Louisville 16
37 -Louisiana-Lafayette 15
38 -Georgia Tech 15
39 -Washington 15
40 -Nebraska 14
41 -Texas Tech 13
42 -Buffalo 12
43 -Iowa 12
44 -Arizona 10
45 -Toledo 10
46 -Boise State 10
47 -Penn State 10
48 -East Carolina 9
49 -Ohio 9
50 -Pittsburgh 9
51 -Kansas State 8
52 -Rice 7
53 -Utah 7
54 -Rutgers 6
55 -Boston College 6
56 -Tulane 5
57 -Vanderbilt 5
58 -Syracuse 5
59 -Tennessee 5
60 -Oregon State 4
61 -Arkansas State 4
62 -North Carolina 4
63 -Mississippi State 4
64 -San Jose State 3
65 -Indiana 3
66 -San Diego State 2
67 -UTSA 2
68 -Florida 2
69 -Middle Tennessee State 1
70 -Utah State 1
71 -Louisiana-Monroe 1
72 -Washington State 1
73 -Marshall 0
74 -Navy -1
75 -Texas State -2
76 -Western Kentucky -3
77 -Northwestern -3
78 -West Virginia -3
79 -Maryland -4
80 -UNLV -4
81 -Cincinnati -5
82 -Bowling Green -5
83 -Wake Forest -5
84 -Florida Atlantic -5
85 -Troy -7
86 -Wyoming -8
87 -Colorado -9
88 -Arkansas -9
89 -Illinois -10
90 -Texas Christian -11
91 -North Carolina State -11
92 -Memphis -11
93 -Akron -11
94 -Colorado State -12
95 -Central Michigan -12
96 -Southern Methodist -13
97 -South Alabama -13
98 -Kansas -13
99 -South Florida -14
100 -Purdue -14
101 -Virginia -15
102 -Nevada -17
103 -Kentucky -18
104 -Tulsa -21
105 -Eastern Michigan -22
106 -New Mexico -23
107 -Kent State -24
108 -Louisiana Tech -25
109 -California -25
110 -Army -26
111 -Iowa State -27
112 -Connecticut -28
113 -UAB -29
114 -Temple -31
115 -Idaho -31
116 -Air Force -33
117 -Massachusetts -33
118 -Florida International -33
119 -New Mexico State -33
120 -UTEP -35
121 -Hawaii -35
122 -Southern Mississippi -36
123 -Western Michigan -40
124 -Miami-Ohio -45
125 -Georgia State -50

Sunday, November 3, 2013

2013 Power Points Standings thru 11-02

1 -Florida State 34
2 -Ohio State 32
3 -Alabama 31
4 -Stanford 31
5 -Missouri 28
6 -Auburn 28
7 -Oklahoma 28
8 -Clemson 27
9 -Oregon 25
10 -Notre Dame 25
11 -Fresno State 24
12 -Brigham Young 24
13 -Baylor 22
14 -Miami-Florida 22
15 -South Carolina 22
16 -Georgia 22
17 -Texas A&M 21
18 -Arizona State 21
19 -Michigan State 19
20 -Michigan 19
21 -Oklahoma State 18
22 -Minnesota 18
23 -Virginia Tech 18
24 -Northern Illinois 17
25 -Houston 17
26 -Louisiana State 17
27 -Texas Tech 17
28 -UCLA 17
29 -Louisville 16
30 -Southern California 16
31 -Ball State 15
32 -Central Florida 15
33 -North Texas 15
34 -Mississippi 15
35 -Texas 13
36 -Georgia Tech 13
37 -Washington 13
38 -Wisconsin 12
39 -Arizona 11
40 -Duke 11
41 -Penn State 10
42 -Iowa 10
43 -Ohio 9
44 -Louisiana-Lafayette 9
45 -Boise State 9
46 -Nebraska 8
47 -Toledo 8
48 -Florida 8
49 -Utah 8
50 -Rice 7
51 -Tulane 7
52 -Louisiana-Monroe 7
53 -Tennessee 7
54 -East Carolina 6
55 -San Jose State 6
56 -Rutgers 6
57 -Mississippi State 6
58 -Buffalo 5
59 -Oregon State 4
60 -Boston College 4
61 -Maryland 1
62 -UNLV 1
63 -Syracuse 1
64 -Kansas State 1
65 -Washington State 1
66 -North Carolina 1
67 -Texas State 0
68 -Vanderbilt 0
69 -Pittsburgh 0
70 -West Virginia 0
71 -Indiana 0
72 -Middle Tennessee State -1
73 -Arkansas State -1
74 -Marshall -2
75 -Navy -2
76 -Utah State -3
77 -San Diego State -3
78 -Wake Forest -3
79 -UTSA -3
80 -Bowling Green -4
81 -Troy -4
82 -Northwestern -4
83 -Florida Atlantic -4
84 -Western Kentucky -5
85 -Colorado -5
86 -Illinois -5
87 -Arkansas -6
88 -Cincinnati -8
89 -Wyoming -8
90 -Central Michigan -8
91 -Texas Christian -8
92 -Virginia -8
93 -North Carolina State -9
94 -Akron -9
95 -Purdue -9
96 -Memphis -10
97 -Southern Methodist -11
98 -South Alabama -11
99 -Nevada -11
100 -Kansas -11
101 -Colorado State -12
102 -South Florida -12
103 -Kentucky -15
104 -Tulsa -17
105 -Iowa State -19
106 -California -20
107 -Eastern Michigan -20
108 -Louisiana Tech -21
109 -Idaho -21
110 -Army -22
111 -Kent State -22
112 -New Mexico -23
113 -UAB -24
114 -Air Force -24
115 -Connecticut -24
116 -Florida International -26
117 -Temple -26
118 -New Mexico State -28
119 -Hawaii -28
120 -Southern Mississippi -29
121 -UTEP -31
122 -Western Michigan -31
123 -Massachusetts -31
124 -Miami-Ohio -38
125 -Georgia State -44

TOP 25 WITH AVERAGE SCORING MARGIN
1 -Florida State 72.0
2 -Baylor 70.0
3 -Oregon 63.8
4 -Ohio State 63.2
5 -Alabama 62.5
6 -Missouri 48.0
7 -Clemson 46.2
8 -Louisville 44.8
9 -Auburn 44.7
10 -Stanford 44.3
11 -Arizona State 41.6
12 -Oklahoma 40.3
13 -Texas A&M 40.2
14 -Fresno State 38.9
15 -Miami-Florida 37.8
16 -Michigan State 37.2
17 -Oklahoma State 37.1
18 -Northern Illinois 36.2
19 -Houston 35.8
20 -Wisconsin 35.4
21 -Louisiana State 35.3
22 -Brigham Young 35.1
23 -Central Florida 32.7
24 -South Carolina 32.0
25 -UCLA 31.8