Sunday, November 30, 2014

2014 Power Points Standings through 11-29

1 -Florida State 67
2 -Ohio State 63
3 -Alabama 61
4 -Oregon 59
5 -Boise State 59
6 -Arizona 52
7 -UCLA 52
8 -Georgia Tech 51
9 -Mississippi 50
10 -Texas Christian 49
11 -Mississippi State 48
12 -Wisconsin 47
13 -Michigan State 45
14 -Missouri 44
15 -Marshall 43
16 -Baylor 38
17 -Auburn 38
18 -Colorado State 37
19 -Kansas State 37
20 -Georgia 37
21 -Clemson 37
22 -Arizona State 35
23 -Nebraska 35
24 -Oklahoma 34
25 -Louisville 32
26 -Louisiana State 30
27 -Southern California 30
28 -Northern Illinois 29
29 -Minnesota 28
30 -Air Force 27
31 -Utah 27
32 -Cincinnati 22
33 -Utah State 22
34 -Louisiana Tech 22
35 -Memphis 20
36 -Notre Dame 20
37 -Arkansas 20
38 Georgia Southern 19
39 -Brigham Young 19
40 -Texas A&M 19
41 -Duke 18
42 -Toledo 18
43 -West Virginia 18
44 -North Carolina State 18
45 -Stanford 17
46 -Louisiana-Lafayette 16
47 -Boston College 16
48 -Miami-Florida 15
49 -Rutgers 14
50 -Maryland 14
51 -Western Kentucky 14
52 -Tennessee 13
53 -Central Florida 12
54 -Washington 12
55 -Nevada 12
56 -Florida 12
57 -Navy 11
58 -Texas 11
59 -Western Michigan 9
60 -Rice 9
61 -North Carolina 9
62 -East Carolina 8
63 -Illinois 8
64 -Virginia Tech 8
65 -Iowa 6
66 -UTEP 5
67 -South Carolina 5
68 -Penn State 4
69 -Bowling Green 3
70 -Middle Tennessee State 0
71 -Houston -1
72 -Virginia -1
73 -Oklahoma State -2
74 -Michigan -2
75 -San Diego State -3
76 -Arkansas State -3
77 -Pittsburgh -4
78 -South Alabama -4
79 -Central Michigan -5
80 -Kentucky -6
81 -Texas State -7
82 -Fresno State -7
83 Old Dominion -7
84 -UAB -7
85 -Northwestern -8
86 -Ohio -9
87 -Temple -9
88 -California -9
89 -Appalachian State -12
90 -Oregon State -13
91 -Texas Tech -18
92 -New Mexico -18
93 -Indiana -19
94 -Wyoming -19
95 -Ball State -21
96 -Tulane -23
97 -Buffalo -24
98 -South Florida -24
99 -Washington State -24
100 -Syracuse -25
101 -UTSA -26
102 -Kansas -26
103 -Akron -27
104 -Purdue -27
105 -Southern Mississippi -27
106 -Louisiana-Monroe -29
107 -Wake Forest -30
108 -Vanderbilt -31
109 -Colorado -31
110 -Florida International -33
111 -Florida Atlantic -34
112 -Army -35
113 -Iowa State -36
114 -Connecticut -36
115 -San Jose State -38
116 -Hawaii -40
117 -Kent State -41
118 -Tulsa -43
119 -North Texas -44
120 -Troy -45
121 -Eastern Michigan -46
122 -Miami-Ohio -47
123 -UNLV -49
124 -Southern Methodist -49
125 -Massachusetts -53
126 -Idaho -54
127 -Georgia State -58
128 -New Mexico State -60

Sunday, November 23, 2014

2014 FCS Playoffs and the Power Points System

Here is how the 24 FCS playoff teams rank among each other under the Power Points System based on Division I games only. FBS wins and losses are equal to the most valuable FCS win and loss respectively. Actual NCAA selection committee seeds are listed in parentheses. Rank among playoff teams in The Sports Network FCS poll is listed to the right of each team's name.

1 North Dakota State(2) 2
2 Villanova(6) 5
3 New Hampshire(1) 1
4 Coastal Carolina(7) 6
5 Jacksonville State(3) 3
6 Illinois State(5) 7
7 Eastern Washington(4) 4
8 Northern Iowa 10
9 Liberty 19
10 Fordham 9
11 James Madison 14
12 Chattanooga(8) 8
13 Sam Houston State 18
14 Eastern Kentucky 15
15 Richmond 17
16 South Dakota State 13
17 Sacred Heart 21
18 SE Louisiana 11
19 San Diego 24
20 Indiana State 20
21 Montana 12
22 Montana State 16
23 Stephen F. Austin 22
24 Morgan State 23

2014 Power Points Standings through 11-22

1 -Florida State 57
2 -UCLA 53
3 -Ohio State 51
4 -Alabama 50
5 -Oregon 50
6 -Mississippi State 49
7 -Marshall 45
8 -Boise State 44
9 -Texas Christian 41
10 -Arizona 39
11 -Georgia 38
12 -Georgia Tech 38
13 -Auburn 38
14 -Colorado State 37
15 -Wisconsin 37
16 -Mississippi 37
17 -Missouri 36
18 -Michigan State 36
19 -Arizona State 34
20 -Kansas State 33
21 -Baylor 32
22 -Oklahoma 31
23 -Clemson 29
24 -Minnesota 29
25 -Louisville 26
26 -Nebraska 26
27 -Texas A&M 24
28 -Louisiana State 24
29 -Utah 24
30 -Notre Dame 24
31 -Utah State 22
32 -Southern California 22
33 -Arkansas 22
34 -Northern Illinois 18
35 -Memphis 18
36 -Maryland 18
37 -Miami-Florida 18
38 -Cincinnati 16
39 -West Virginia 16
40 -Duke 15
41 -Air Force 15
42 -Toledo 15
43 -Brigham Young 14
44 -Rice 14
45 Georgia Southern 13
46 -Louisiana Tech 12
47 -Florida 12
48 -North Carolina 12
49 -Texas 12
50 -Louisiana-Lafayette 11
51 -Boston College 11
52 -Tennessee 11
53 -Western Michigan 10
54 -Washington 10
55 -South Carolina 10
56 -North Carolina State 10
57 -Stanford 9
58 -Nevada 9
59 -Central Florida 8
60 -Iowa 8
61 -East Carolina 7
62 -Bowling Green 7
63 -Rutgers 6
64 -Penn State 6
65 -Middle Tennessee State 4
66 -Navy 4
67 -Virginia 4
68 -Illinois 3
69 -Virginia Tech 3
70 -Western Kentucky 1
71 -Northwestern 1
72 -South Alabama 0
73 -Michigan 0
74 -Kentucky -1
75 -Houston -2
76 -UTEP -2
77 -Oklahoma State -2
78 -Arkansas State -4
79 -California -4
80 -Central Michigan -5
81 -San Diego State -6
82 -Temple -6
83 -UAB -7
84 -Texas State -8
85 -Pittsburgh -8
86 Old Dominion -8
87 -Ohio -9
88 -Wyoming -9
89 -Appalachian State -11
90 -Oregon State -11
91 -Fresno State -12
92 -Akron -16
93 -Texas Tech -16
94 -Purdue -16
95 -Washington State -18
96 -Syracuse -18
97 -Indiana -18
98 -Southern Mississippi -18
99 -South Florida -20
100 -Vanderbilt -20
101 -New Mexico -20
102 -Kansas -22
103 -Colorado -22
104 -Tulane -23
105 -Louisiana-Monroe -24
106 -Ball State -24
107 -Buffalo -25
108 -Wake Forest -25
109 -Florida Atlantic -26
110 -San Jose State -28
111 -Iowa State -28
112 -Hawaii -29
113 -UTSA -29
114 -Florida International -30
115 -Connecticut -32
116 -North Texas -33
117 -Army -34
118 -Tulsa -36
119 -Troy -37
120 -Miami-Ohio -37
121 -Eastern Michigan -39
122 -Kent State -41
123 -Southern Methodist -41
124 -UNLV -42
125 -Massachusetts -43
126 -Idaho -45
127 -Georgia State -50
128 -New Mexico State -52

Sunday, November 16, 2014

2014 Power Points Standings through 11-15

1 -Alabama 48
2 -Florida State 47
3 -Oregon 44
4 -Mississippi State 44
5 -Ohio State 44
6 -UCLA 42
7 -Mississippi 39
8 -Boise State 38
9 -Texas Christian 37
10 -Marshall 36
11 -Georgia Tech 36
12 -Auburn 35
13 -Georgia 34
14 -Colorado State 32
15 -Arizona 31
16 -Arizona State 30
17 -Michigan State 29
18 -Wisconsin 28
19 -Missouri 28
20 -Baylor 27
21 -Oklahoma 27
22 -Nebraska 26
23 -Kansas State 25
24 -Clemson 25
25 -Notre Dame 24
26 -Utah 24
27 -Southern California 23
28 -Miami-Florida 23
29 -Louisiana State 21
30 -Duke 20
31 -Texas A&M 20
32 -Air Force 19
33 -Minnesota 19
34 -Utah State 18
35 -Louisville 18
36 -Louisiana Tech 17
37 -Louisiana-Lafayette 16
38 -West Virginia 15
39 -Maryland 14
40 -Memphis 13
41 -Cincinnati 13
42 -Nevada 13
43 -Brigham Young 12
44 -Arkansas 12
45 -Tennessee 12
46 -Northern Illinois 11
47 Georgia Southern 11
48 -Penn State 11
49 -Florida 11
50 -Bowling Green 10
51 -Rutgers 10
52 -Boston College 10
53 -Texas 10
54 -Virginia Tech 10
55 -North Carolina State 9
56 -Central Florida 8
57 -Iowa 7
58 -Toledo 7
59 -Rice 6
60 -Navy 6
61 -South Alabama 5
62 -Stanford 5
63 -Michigan 5
64 -Western Michigan 4
65 -North Carolina 4
66 -East Carolina 3
67 -Washington 3
68 -Arkansas State 2
69 -South Carolina 2
70 -UTEP 1
71 -California 1
72 -Northwestern 1
73 -Middle Tennessee State 0
74 -Central Michigan -1
75 -Oklahoma State -1
76 -Western Kentucky -1
77 -Kentucky -2
78 -Houston -3
79 -Virginia -3
80 -Illinois -3
81 -Oregon State -5
82 -Temple -6
83 -Ohio -6
84 -UAB -7
85 -Wyoming -7
86 -Purdue -8
87 -Pittsburgh -9
88 -Syracuse -11
89 -Washington State -12
90 -San Diego State -13
91 -Texas State -13
92 -Fresno State -14
93 Old Dominion -14
94 -Indiana -14
95 -Appalachian State -16
96 -Texas Tech -16
97 -Kansas -16
98 -South Florida -17
99 -Akron -17
100 -New Mexico -17
101 -Southern Mississippi -17
102 -Tulane -18
103 -Florida Atlantic -18
104 -Vanderbilt -19
105 -Iowa State -19
106 -Colorado -19
107 -UTSA -20
108 -Buffalo -22
109 -Florida International -22
110 -San Jose State -24
111 -Ball State -24
112 -Louisiana-Monroe -25
113 -Hawaii -28
114 -Connecticut -28
115 -Wake Forest -29
116 -Tulsa -30
117 -Eastern Michigan -30
118 -UNLV -32
119 -North Texas -33
120 -Massachusetts -33
121 -Army -33
122 -Troy -33
123 -Miami-Ohio -34
124 -Southern Methodist -36
125 -Kent State -38
126 -New Mexico State -42
127 -Georgia State -42
128 -Idaho -42

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Power Points and AP Poll: Separated by One Game?

The best case scenario for the Power Points System includes all FBS teams knowingly competing according to its rules while playing equal or equal maximum game regular season schedules versus FBS competition only. That said, I have 36 seasons worth of results based on FBS games only but without teams knowingly competing according to the Power Points System's rules or playing equal/equal maximum game regular season schedules. Since 1978, the average FBS season includes 619 FBS versus FBS games. If I change the outcome of just one game each year to see how close the Power Points System comes to matching the AP poll, I get the results posted below. To be clear, I'm not suggesting that the Power Points System needs to match the AP poll to be validated. I have no problem defending its actual results compared to the AP poll. I just find it interesting that the difference between a simple point system that only needs a team's wins and losses and its opponents' wins and losses to separate any pair of teams better than 99% of the time and the longest running college football poll where pollsters are free to arbitrarily and inconsistently apply any criteria to rank teams boils down to changing the outcome of a single game out of more than 600. The first set of numbers are the AP ranks of the Power Points System's top four teams at the end of the regular season. The second set are the AP ranks of the top four teams if I change the outcome of a single game to produce a result that best matches the AP poll. In some instances, changing the outcome of a single game was not required as a result closer to matching the AP than the original result could not be achieved.

1978 1 2 3 10 to 1 2 3 4
1979 1 4 6 9 to 1 3 4 6
1980 2 3 7 14 to 2 3 4 14
1981 1 7 9 10 to 1 3 7 10
1982 1 2 3 5 to 1 2 3 4
1983 1 2 3 9 to 1 2 3 4
1984 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1985 1 3 5 6 to 1 2 3 5
1986 1 2 4 5 to 1 2 3 4
1987 2 3 4 5 to 1 2 3 4
1988 1 2 5 6 to 1 2 5 6
1989 1 3 4 8 to 1 2 3 4
1990 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1991 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1992 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1993 1 2 3 8 to 1 2 3 5
1994 1 2 5 6 to 1 2 3 5
1995 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1996 1 2 3 5 to 1 2 3 4
1997 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
1998 1 2 6 8 to 1 2 3 8
1999 1 2 3 5 to 1 2 3 5
2000 1 2 3 7 to 1 2 3 4
2001 1 3 4 8 to 1 2 3 4
2002 1 2 4 5 to 1 2 4 5
2003 1 2 3 7 to 1 2 3 4
2004 1 2 3 6 to 1 2 3 4
2005 1 2 3 4 to 1 2 3 4
2006 1 2 3 9 to 1 2 3 4
2007 2 3 5 7 to 1 2 3 5
2008 1 2 3 7 to 1 2 3 5
2009 1 2 5 6 to 1 2 4 5
2010 1 3 9 10 to 1 2 3 9
2011 1 3 4 8 to 1 2 3 8
2012 1 3 4 8 to 1 2 3 4
2013 1 2 5 7 to 1 2 3 5

Sunday, November 9, 2014

2014 Power Points Standings through 11-08

1 -Mississippi State 43
2 -Oregon 42
3 -Florida State 40
4 -UCLA 39
5 -Alabama 37
6 -Auburn 37
7 -Mississippi 36
8 -Arizona State 33
9 -Texas Christian 33
10 -Ohio State 32
11 -Boise State 31
12 -Colorado State 30
13 -Marshall 29
14 -Notre Dame 29
15 -Georgia Tech 28
16 -Louisiana State 27
17 -Nebraska 26
18 -Clemson 25
19 -Duke 24
20 -Arizona 24
21 -Georgia 24
22 -Baylor 23
23 -Kansas State 23
24 -Michigan State 23
25 -Oklahoma 22
26 -Texas A&M 21
27 -Miami-Florida 21
28 -Missouri 20
29 -Minnesota 19
30 -Wisconsin 18
31 -Utah 18
32 -Louisville 17
33 -Southern California 17
34 -West Virginia 15
35 -Florida 15
36 -Louisiana Tech 14
37 Georgia Southern 13
38 -Utah State 13
39 -Maryland 13
40 -Nevada 13
41 -Louisiana-Lafayette 12
42 -Air Force 11
43 -Brigham Young 10
44 -Memphis 9
45 -Stanford 9
46 -Boston College 8
47 -Bowling Green 7
48 -Cincinnati 7
49 -Rutgers 7
50 -Middle Tennessee State 7
51 -North Carolina State 7
52 -Arkansas 7
53 -Arkansas State 6
54 -Toledo 6
55 -Washington 6
56 -Tennessee 6
57 -Rice 5
58 -Central Florida 5
59 -Texas 5
60 -Kentucky 5
61 -Northern Illinois 4
62 -East Carolina 4
63 -Iowa 4
64 -Penn State 4
65 -Michigan 4
66 -California 3
67 -Oklahoma State 3
68 -North Carolina 3
69 -Western Michigan 2
70 -Virginia Tech 2
71 -South Alabama 1
72 -Illinois 1
73 -South Carolina -1
74 -Navy -1
75 -Central Michigan -2
76 -UTEP -2
77 -Temple -2
78 -Virginia -2
79 -Houston -4
80 -Pittsburgh -4
81 -Western Kentucky -5
82 -Northwestern -5
83 -Ohio -6
84 -Purdue -6
85 -Texas State -7
86 -UAB -7
87 -Wyoming -7
88 -Syracuse -8
89 -Southern Mississippi -8
90 -Akron -10
91 -Indiana -10
92 -San Diego State -11
93 -Washington State -11
94 -Oregon State -12
95 -Fresno State -12
96 -Texas Tech -13
97 -San Jose State -13
98 -Kansas -13
99 -Tulane -13
100 -New Mexico -13
101 Old Dominion -14
102 -South Florida -15
103 -Ball State -16
104 -Vanderbilt -17
105 -Louisiana-Monroe -18
106 -Florida Atlantic -18
107 -Iowa State -18
108 -Colorado -18
109 -Appalachian State -21
110 -UTSA -21
111 -Wake Forest -22
112 -Buffalo -24
113 -Army -25
114 -Florida International -25
115 -Tulsa -25
116 -Connecticut -25
117 -UNLV -25
118 -North Texas -26
119 -Eastern Michigan -26
120 -Southern Methodist -26
121 -Hawaii -27
122 -Idaho -29
123 -Miami-Ohio -30
124 -Troy -31
125 -Kent State -33
126 -Massachusetts -34
127 -New Mexico State -37
128 -Georgia State -39

Sunday, November 2, 2014

2014 Power Points Standings through 11-01

1 -Mississippi State 42
2 -Auburn 38
3 -Florida State 34
4 -Oregon 34
5 -Mississippi 33
6 -UCLA 30
7 -Alabama 28
8 -Notre Dame 28
9 -Nebraska 26
10 -Colorado State 26
11 -Arizona State 26
12 -Louisiana State 26
13 -Texas Christian 25
14 -Boise State 25
15 -Marshall 24
16 -Kansas State 24
17 -Ohio State 24
18 -Michigan State 23
19 -Clemson 22
20 -Georgia Tech 21
21 -Oklahoma 21
22 -Arizona 20
23 -Missouri 19
24 -Miami-Florida 19
25 -West Virginia 19
26 -Duke 17
27 -Georgia 17
28 -Utah 16
29 -Wisconsin 16
30 -Southern California 16
31 -Baylor 15
32 -Texas A&M 13
33 -Maryland 13
34 -Minnesota 12
35 -Louisville 12
36 -Florida 12
37 -Nevada 11
38 -Boston College 11
39 -Louisiana Tech 9
40 -Louisiana-Lafayette 9
41 -Brigham Young 9
42 -Air Force 8
43 -Washington 8
44 -Utah State 8
45 -Stanford 8
46 -North Carolina State 8
47 Georgia Southern 7
48 -Iowa 7
49 -Kentucky 7
50 -Arkansas 7
51 -Toledo 6
52 -East Carolina 5
53 -Central Florida 5
54 -Cincinnati 5
55 -Middle Tennessee State 5
56 -Tennessee 5
57 -Memphis 4
58 -Oklahoma State 4
59 -Rutgers 4
60 -UTEP 3
61 -California 3
62 -Houston 2
63 -South Alabama 2
64 -Rice 2
65 -Bowling Green 2
66 -Penn State 2
67 -North Carolina 2
68 -Virginia Tech 2
69 -Michigan 2
70 -Northern Illinois 1
71 -Western Michigan 1
72 -Temple 1
73 -Illinois 1
74 -Arkansas State 0
75 -South Carolina 0
76 -Navy 0
77 -Texas -1
78 -Pittsburgh -1
79 -Northwestern -1
80 -Purdue -1
81 -Central Michigan -2
82 -Virginia -3
83 -Wyoming -3
84 -Oregon State -5
85 -Indiana -5
86 -Syracuse -5
87 -Texas State -6
88 -UAB -6
89 -Akron -6
90 -San Jose State -6
91 -Ohio -8
92 -Southern Mississippi -9
93 -Western Kentucky -10
94 -New Mexico -10
95 -Iowa State -10
96 -San Diego State -11
97 -Louisiana-Monroe -11
98 -Florida Atlantic -11
99 -Ball State -12
100 -Texas Tech -12
101 -Fresno State -13
102 -Vanderbilt -13
103 -South Florida -14
104 -Kansas -14
105 -Colorado -14
106 Old Dominion -15
107 -UTSA -15
108 -Washington State -15
109 -Florida International -17
110 -Wake Forest -18
111 -Connecticut -18
112 -Tulane -18
113 -Buffalo -19
114 -Southern Methodist -19
115 -UNLV -21
116 -Appalachian State -22
117 -Tulsa -22
118 -Idaho -22
119 -Hawaii -23
120 -Army -24
121 -Eastern Michigan -24
122 -North Texas -26
123 -Miami-Ohio -27
124 -Georgia State -28
125 -Troy -28
126 -New Mexico State -29
127 -Kent State -29
128 -Massachusetts -31