Wednesday, August 21, 2013

NONE OR ONE

Since 1978, 140 teams have placed in the Power Points Standings top four and another 187 teams needed a favorable outcome in just one more game to finish in top four whether it be as a result of winning a game they lost or tied or receiving help from another team. Listed below is the breakdown of the AP rank for those 327 teams.

AP RANK BREAKDOWN
1-35
2-34
3-32
4-32
5-32
6-23
7-23
8-24
9-22
10-18
11-14
12-8
13-9
14-4
15-4
16-1
17-1
18-2
19-3
20-2
NR-4*
*All occurred in years in which AP only ranked top 20 teams.

LOSSES BREAKDOWN (Ties count as 0.5 losses)
0.0-62
0.5-4
1.0-124
1.5-21
2.0-94
2.5-5
3.0-15
3.5-2

FYI FACTS
1-Seven AP top four teams did not make Power Points Standings top four or finish one game outcome removed from the same. Four of these teams did not play a full schedule versus FBS competition.
2-"Mid-Majors" account for 28 of the 327 teams. BYU (8) and Boise State (6) account for 14 of the 28 mid-major teams (50%).
3-BYU (5) and Boise State (4) account for 9 of 11 PPS top four finishes among mid-majors. Former mid-majors TCU and Utah account for the remaining two.
4-Only 1984 BYU, 2009 TCU and 2010 TCU finished in the AP top four among mid-majors since 1978.
5-1984 accounts for five of the 11 lowest AP ranks and 1984 and 2011 combine for eight of the 12 lowest AP ranks.

Sunday, August 11, 2013

AP Poll Comparison III

Listed below is how often the Power Points Standings agreed with AP Poll on the higher ranked among AP Top 20 teams or favored a team with equal or more wins versus AP ranked teams.

1986 190 100.0
1978 188 98.9
1997 186 97.9
1992 186 97.9
1991 186 97.9
1993 186 97.9
2002 184 96.8
1982 184 96.8
1990 184 96.8
2009 183 96.3
1998 182 95.8
1987 182 95.8
2000 182 95.8
2006 182 95.8
1995 182 95.8
2007 181 95.3
1984 181 95.3
1989 181 95.3
1979 180 94.7
1983 180 94.7
1996 180 94.7
2001 179 94.2
2005 179 94.2
1994 179 94.2
2004 179 94.2
2010 178 93.7
1988 178 93.7
1999 175 92.1
2008 175 92.1
1981 174 91.6
1985 172 90.5
1980 171 90.0
2003 166 87.4
2011 155 81.6
Totals 6110 94.6

Monday, August 5, 2013

AP Poll Comparison II

Listed below is how often the AP Poll and Power Points Standings agreed on the higher ranked team among AP top 20 teams when comparing teams separated by the same number of places in the AP Poll. For example, the AP and PPS agreed on the higher ranked team 57.9% of the time among 665 pairs of teams separated by one place in the AP poll (1 vs 2, 2 vs 3, 3 vs 4, etc.).

1 : 385 665 57.9
2 : 425 630 67.5
3 : 428 595 71.9
4 : 431 560 77.0
5 : 425 525 81.0
6 : 411 490 83.9
7 : 410 455 90.1
8 : 392 420 93.3
9 : 363 385 94.3
10 : 337 350 96.3
11 : 307 315 97.5
12 : 272 280 97.1
13 : 238 245 97.1
14 : 206 210 98.1
15 : 173 175 98.9
16 : 140 140 100.0
17 : 105 105 100.0
18 : 68 70 97.1
19 : 35 35 100.0

AP Poll Comparison I

Based on the final regular season rankings and standings for the past 35 seasons, the top 20 AP teams were compared in pairs to determine how often higher ranked teams in the AP poll placed higher in the Power Points Standings. The seasons are listed below in order of most to least matches (out of 190) with total numbers (out of 6650) for all seasons listed at bottom.


2009 176 92.6
1978 174 91.6
1993 171 90.0
1996 171 90.0
1990 170 89.5
1995 170 89.5
1991 169 88.9
2006 167 87.9
2012 167 87.9
2004 166 87.4
1983 165 86.8
1992 164 86.3
1994 164 86.3
2000 164 86.3
1989 162 85.3
1997 162 85.3
2008 162 85.3
1982 161 84.7
1984 158 83.2
1988 158 83.2
1979 157 82.6
2005 157 82.6
2007 156 82.1
1986 154 81.1
1987 152 80.0
2002 152 80.0
1999 151 79.5
1985 150 78.9
1998 150 78.9
2003 150 78.9
1981 146 76.8
2010 146 76.8
1980 139 73.2
2001 139 73.2
2011 131 68.9
Total 5551 83.5