Friday, March 19, 2010

Round 1: Objectivity vs. Subjectivity

The Power Points System is not a predictive system nor does it make any claims about which teams are better than others. It is simply a rules system that ranks teams according to the value of their season based on the chosen criteria. Simply put, higher ranked teams are not predicted to beat lower ranked teams nor are they said to be better teams. Their seasons are simply more valuable under the prescribed rules.

That said, higher seeded teams in the Power Points System's (PPS) statistical equivalent are 26-6 through the first round of the NCAA tournament. Higher seeds according to the NCAA selection committee (SC) are 22-10. There have been six games where the two systems disagreed on the higher seed and the PPS holds a 5-1 advantage in those games. The two systems share five upset losses and the PPS seeded the game closer in four of the five.

Also, with the NCAA considering expanding its tournament to 96 teams which would presumably include 32 teams having byes, the two systems agreed on 25 of the top 32 teams. Where they disagreed, the PPS Seven finished 4-3 in the first round with all three losses to other PPS top 32 teams and only one loss qualifying as an upset in the PPS. The SC Seven finished 1-6 in the first round with all six losses qualifying as upsets according to the SC's own seeds.

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